Thursday, March 3, 2016

Unit III: Aggregate Demand

Aggregate Demand Curve
-AD is the demand by consumers, businesses, government, and foreign countries
 -What definitely doesn’t shift the curve: changes in price cause a move along the curve
-AD= C+I+G+Xn
- GDPR is Real domestic output
-Why is AD downward sloping?
        I.            Real-Balance Effect
                                i.            High price level reduces the purchasing power of money
                              ii.            This decreases the quantity of expenditures
                            iii.            Lowers price level increases purchasing power, increases expenditures
                            iv.            Example: $50,000 in a bank account during inflation erodes purchasing power, likely to reduce spending
      II.            Interest Rate Effect
                                i.            When the price level increases, lenders need to charge higher interest rates to get a real return on their loans
                              ii.            Higher interest rate discourages consumer spending and business investment
                            iii.            Example: An increase in interest rate causes 5% to 25% less likely to take out loans to improve your business
   III.        III. Foreign Trade Effect
                                i.            U.S. price level increases cause foreign buyers to purchase fewer U.S. goods, Americans buy more foreign goods.
                              ii.            Exports decreases, imports increases, causing real GDP to fall (Xn decreases)
Shifters of Aggregate Demand
-Shifts in AD caused by a change in C, Ig, G, and/or Xn
-Multiplier effect that produces a greater change than the original change in four components
-Increases in AD shifts AD ->
-Decreases in AD shifts AD <-
Determinants of AD
I.                    Consumption: household spending is affected by consumer wealth
        i.            More wealth= more spending (AD )
      ii.            Less wealth= less spending (AD )
II.                  Consumer expectations:
                                            i.            Positive expectation=more spending (AD )
                                          ii.            Negative expectations=less spending (AD )
III.               Household indebtedness 
i.                    Less debt= more spending (AD )
ii.                  More debt= less spending (AD )
IV.               Taxes
i.                    Less taxes= more spending (AD )
ii.                  More taxes= less spending (AD )

Gross Private Domestic Investment
Investment spending is sensitive to        
I.                    Real interest rate
                                                        i.            Lower real interest rate= more investment AD
                                                      ii.            Higher interest rate = less investment AD  
II.                  Expected returns
i.                    Higher expected returns= more investment AD
                                                    iii.            Lower expected returns= less investment AD  
Expected returns are influenced by
I.                    Expectations of future profitability
II.                  Technology
III.               Degree of excess capacity (existing stock of capital)
IV.               Business taxes
Government Spending
-More government spending= AD
-Less government spending= AD
Net exports are sensitive to exchange rates (international value of $)
-Strong $= more exports and fewer exports AD
-Weak $= fewer imports and more exports AD
Relative Income
-Strong foreign economy= more exports AD

-Weak foreign economy= less exports AD

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